With Judge's Absence, the AL MVP Race is Wide Open
The American League MVP race has been a two-horse race for a decade, dominated by Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani. But with Judge out for an extended period due to a stress fracture in his rib and Ohtani's move to the National League, the 2026 season promises an exciting and unpredictable MVP race.
The field is wide open, and several players are emerging as strong contenders. Here's a breakdown of the top candidates and some dark horses who could surprise.
The Top Contenders
Alvarez: The Rising Star
Alvarez has been an exceptional hitter since his 2019 debut, boasting a 165 wRC+ and ranking as MLB's second-best batter. His five-tool skills make him a complete superstar. While he may not have the power production of Witt, his all-around excellence could sway voters.
Witt: The Versatile Star
Witt, a Royals shortstop, leads the AL with 3.8 WAR. His 119 wRC+ and elite defense make him a strong contender. However, power production is a concern, as he fell short of 30 homers last season and is on pace to do so again. A surge in power could elevate his MVP case.
Kurtz: The Rookie Sensation
Kurtz, a first baseman for the Athletics, had an incredible debut season, reaching base at an MLB-leading .438 clip. His 184 wRC+ since April 12 showcases his exceptional hitting. At 23 years old, he could become one of the youngest MVP winners ever.
Rice: The Yankees' Hidden Gem
Rice, the Yankees' most productive hitter, has erupted with 18 homers and a 1.005 OPS. While he's not a three-time MVP, his performance and the team's strong standing make him a potential dark horse for MVP honors.
Other Potential Candidates
Ramírez: The Unbeaten Guardian
Ramírez, a Guardians third baseman, has been a consistent MVP contender. With 10 homers and a .765 OPS, he's on pace for a career-high in steals. His superb defense and all-around game make him a serious threat.
Rodríguez: The Slow Starter
Rodríguez, a Mariners center fielder, has a history of slow starts but has finished among the top seven in AL MVP voting in three of his first four seasons. His monster May performance suggests a potential career year.
Díaz and Caminero: The Rays' Rising Stars
The Rays' strong run-differential and Díaz's .331 average with a .940 OPS make them contenders. Caminero, with a 141 wRC+, is also in the mix. However, their chances depend on Tampa Bay's overall performance.
Buxton: The Comeback Story
Buxton, a Twins outfielder, is a long shot due to age and injury history. But if he waives his no-trade clause and delivers MVP-caliber numbers down the stretch, it would be a remarkable comeback.
The absence of Judge and Ohtani opens up a fascinating AL MVP race. While the top contenders are strong, dark horses like Ramírez, Rodríguez, and the Rays' duo could surprise. The MVP award is a testament to a player's excellence, and this season promises an exciting battle for the title.
